Sunday, 21 February 2016

999YK Summer End: Game Over

End of summer 999YK

Summary

Let's see how the empires are doing — the changes since the start of the year are huge.

Storm LordsWhite Fang TribeHammerhead ClanSulatar
HumanOrcs & GoblinsDuergarDrow
997YKStartRevenue10787
Summer startTroops4000200037002700
SummerCampaigning gains/(losses)-53020-30-530
Winter StartTroops3470202036702170
WinterActual Revenue28222912
998YKSummer startTroops4187352053702870
SummerCampaigning gains/(losses)-980-733-520-545
Winter startTroops3207278748502325
WinterActual Revenue28194412
Winter gains/(losses)0-1400-5300
999YKSummer startTroops4607278772202925
SummerCampaigning gains/(losses)-210-2030-1025-2385
Winter startTroops43977576195540
WinterPotential Revenue220560

Well, that's not officially the end of the game, but the Hammerheads have an enormous lead now, as is apparent from the map. They have the majority of the troops and the majority of the revenue. I could play out 1000YK but the Storm Lords cannot really win from here.

I rolled the winter events for the Hammerheads and Storm Lords: the former got Increased Revenue, and the latter got Rebellion. Well, that really wouldn't help the Storm Lords at all; certainly it doesn't help them. Really the only chance was if the Duergar rolled Treachery or Dragonrage, either of which might have taken a chunk out of their empire. As is, the Storm Lords would get crushed.

For completeness, I should say here that empires that lose their capital are not completely out of the game, but they can collect no revenue so they cannot buy supplies or recruit more armies, so they cannot play much part in what continues.

Debrief

The failure of anyone to ally against the Hammerheads really decided the game. In a game with human players, this would normally not happen: the players would be allowed to change alliances during the year and the other empires would probably have teamed up against the Hammerheads. But human players aren't rational and will sometimes refuse to work together, so I allowed that possibility in this game also, and that was what happened. If the White Fang or the Sulatar had managed to hold out until the end of the year, it would have been worth playing on as together the other empires could have been strong enough to resist the Hammerhead Clan.

The Hammerheads had a great game, and were able to control a large area without being significantly threatened. This was mostly because of the close placement of the Sulatar and Storm Lords' capitals, which meant that they had to position their main armies to contest with each other and could spare little for other excursions. The Storm Lords squandered a strong position in year 1, I feel: they neither went for an early kill on the Sulatar nor managed to gain much elsewhere by holding troops back from that fight.

The White Fang were always behind and were unlucky in the third year not to make more of a fight of it. Their brilliant defence of the capital in Lharvion was ultimately for nothing when they lost their main army on the same turn.

Saturday, 20 February 2016

999YK Summer: Lharvion

Lharvion

For the first time in 40,000 years, dragons hunt in the Dragon's Maw mountains. Scouts from the armies of the Hammerhead Clan, patrolling into the foothills of the mountains, saw dragons circling the higher peaks and wisely decided to stay away. Human settlers to the east of the mountains also saw dragons flying overhead in the distance, and cowered in their homes for fear that the dragons could spread their destruction further.

Hammerhead Clan: Banner 6 scouts into the tile with the White Fang capital, Lagakh Mor, and chooses to move into the tile and try to seize it from them. But the attack is repelled (see previous post), driving them back into the barren territory north of the capital.

Dragons spread destruction through the Dragon's Maw mountains,
having already burned the fortresses to the west.
Meanwhile, the duergar approach Lagakh Mor, while the orcs
stand in defence of it.
Banners 1 and 3 scout once towards the city east of the capital, intending to lay siege, and once west to secure the mountain tile behind them. The second set of scouts roll a scouting event, and roll an 11 for the event — another Dragonrage! I don't think I have ever had two dragonrages in one year before, and certainly never in consecutive turns in the same place. The dragons do wake up and there are 4 dragons this time, but fortunately the random directions that they roll just spread them through the mountains and unscouted tiles on the east side.

Hammerhead banners 1 & 3 choose to move west, intending to lay siege to the orcs there. The White Fang have a choice here: they are not badly outnumbered and could fight, but it is betting everything on the battle. If they let  the siege start and then fight next month, the duergar will have had a month of starvation and disease to reduce their fighting strength and so the battle will be easier — but they lose the chance to reinforce the army defending their capital, which was lucky to hold on before and might lose before the end of the year. So instead, White Fang banner 1 will stay to defend the siege while banner 2 retreats to the capital.

(Aside: I realise I have messed up the turn sequence here — all movement should be resolved before all combat, so if banner to retreats to the capital it would have been able to participate in the battle there. Which wouldn't actually happen as the duergar could just choose not to attack this month, expecting to win the battle at the capital. But I got carried away and already played the battle, so I'm just rolling with it.)

The duergar attack the city immediately — there's little reason not to, since they are most likely going to get even casualties, and there's nearly a ⅓ chance to storm the city and destroy the army there. They roll a 9, and storm the city. Mazorn is now in the hands of the Hammerhead clan, and its garrison army is destroyed.

Banner 4 fails to scout again, but the scouts encouter mercenaries that add to their strength by 60 points. Banners 2 & 2 grab villages from the Sulatar and Storm Lords, and banner 8 continues to move south towards the action.

White Fang: Well, they just lost Mazorn and their main army when they failed to defend that siege. That's pretty much game over; they will be out of it very soon now. Their armies just consolidate in the capital and wait for the execution next turn.

I think the outcome would not have been much better if they had done anything else though at this point; earlier rolls that went against them had got them on the edge. Perhaps their best chance would have been not to risk a siege and give up Mazorn, and just fight a slightly-outnumbered pitched battle at the capital; they might have won again. That would still be pretty risky, but maybe the odds were better than a siege.

Storm Lords: The Sulatar capital is well garrisoned, so attacking there is still not viable. Instead, the armies there will just bombard again: this time they roll a 3 and do minor damage. Banner 4 fails to scout, and banner 3 retakes a village from the Hammerheads.

Sulatar: Banners 1 & 2 are besieged and stay defending. Banner 3 starts withdrawing north.

End of Lharvion. The Hammerhead Clan are in a position to mop up all territory in the west. Meanwhile the Storm Lords' siege of Searing Heights continues.

Barrakas

Hammerhead Clan: First order of business, destroy the White Fang for good. Banners 1, 3 & 6 all move to attack Lagakh Mor. This battle I'm not going to wargame, as there is no wargaming system in my repertoire that will give a army outnumbered 5:2 much chance of winning — the orcs stand a better chance using Mighty Empires' simple dice roll for combat.

But it doesn't work out for them. The Hammerheads roll 11 on 2d6, +3 for the 5:2 advantage, giving 14, a crushing victory. The White Fang loses 300 points, their armies are scattered and lose their baggage.

Banner 7 moves out towards the Storm Lords, and banner 5 takes back a village from them. Banner 2 fails to scout and loses 60 points of troops to sickness. Banner 4 scouts a new village. They are too badly outnumbered to defend the fortress here, so they burn it down instead, intending to withdraw to the south if pursued.

White Fang Tribe: Banner 2 loses another 90 points due to starvation and disease, now that the baggage is lost.

Storm Lords: Banners 1 & 2 assault the Sulatar capital. And they roll a 9 (-1 due to the relative strength of the armies, taking into account the x2 defensive bonus for the city, +1 due to the bombardment the previous turn) — that's enough to storm the city. The city is overrun and the garrison is destroyed.

Banner 4, though, is paralysed by mutiny; it will be unable to move this turn or next. The Storm Lords are lucky that there are no armies close to their capital able to take advantage of this.

Banner 3 is in a tough spot, with two duergar armies advancing towards it. Defending cities seems to be a bad idea this year, so they decide to withdraw.

Sulatar: They are basically out of the game; their one army is too small to do anything useful, and they probably need to ally now with the Storm Lords if anyone is to survive the coming duergar onslaught.
The month two empires fell. Hammerhead Clan armies occupy Lagakh Mor, and Searing Heights has falled to the Storm Lords.

Rhaan

Hammerhead Clan: Banners 3 & 6 spread out taking over former White Fang villages, and banner 1 takes over the ruined fortress to the south, driving out the White Fang's armies.

White Fang: also out of the game effectively at this point.

Storm Lords: Banner 1 seizes a village from the Sulatar.

Monday, 15 February 2016

Battle of Lagakh Hon

~100point l'Art de la Guerre battle report.

An army of duergar has come all the way to the capital of the White Fang orc's empire, Lagakh Mor. As the city walls were ruined by a magical earthquake — summoned by the duergar — earlier in the summer, the orcs decide to mount a defence outside the city, in the plains called Lagakh Hon by the orcs. Here the orcs will make their final defence against the duergar of the Hammerhead Clan.

The duergar have around a 50% advantage in army strength, making this battle similar to the battle at Threnal between these empires in the previous year, with the orcs outnumbered, hoping to hold on in a defensive posture. But this is a much smaller battle: these are small scouting armies, less than one quarter of the size of the main armies that met at Threnal. However, for the White Fang this is the final defence, with their capital falling to the Hammerheads if they lose. Translating their armies in Mighty Empires into l'AdlG points, the orcs get 68 points and the duergar have 100.

The Armies

The Hammerhead Clan's force is around 900 strong, with over 800 duergar warriors and around 100 Vulkoorim drow auxilliaries. In charge is Commander Drukh, a solid if unimaginative commander who, before the conflict, was in charge of a complex of mines in the Dragon's Teeth mountains. His troops are sturdy and disciplined, but their food supplies ran low during the long march south, so their strength has been depleted by disease and desertion.
  • 5x Heavy swordsmen armour impact — duergar warriors
  • 1x Heavy swordsmen impetus — duergar shock troops
  • 1x Medium spearmen — duergar spears
  • 2x Crossbows — duergar crossbows
  • 1x Heavy artillery — duergar heavy ballista battery
  • 1x Light cavalry bow — Vulkoorim mounted scouts
  • 1x Light infantry bow — Vulkoorim scouts
Against them, making a desperate stand to protect their capital, is a force of just 700 orcs, led by Shaman Armnok. They were expecting reinforcements that did not come, and may never come now as the main duergar army is laying siege to the city to the east. While ferocious fighters, the orcs lack the discipline of the duergar, leaving them both outnumbered and with inferior troops.
  • 1x Medium swordsmen elite — orc veterans
  • 5x Medium swordsmen — orc warriors
  • 2x Medium cavalry — orc worg riders
  • 1x Light infantry bow — goblin archers
  • 1x Light cavalry javelin — goblin wolf riders

The Battle

Deployment

The Hammerhead forces set up in the open plain, where their dense infantry formation should be able to crush all in its path.

The woods and fields to the west are guarded by the Vulkoorim scouts, and on the east side is the ballistae battery on the slopes of a ridge. The Vulkoorim mounted scouts fill the gap in the line between the artillery and infantry.

The White Fang have only medium infantry, and have no desire to meet the duergar in the open plain. So they position only cavalry in the plain to the east, with their infantry in the fields on the west side.

Turn 1, 2, & 3

End of turn 2
The duergar advance, shifting their line west to try to meet the orcs.

The orcs advance their infantry, turning their line to match the terrain, while the cavalry rides out to flank the duergar line. They hope to trap the advancing infantry between their own infantry line and the cavalry.

End of turn 3
Now the duergar move up their drow scouts on their left, to harass the orc's cavalry in addition to the ballistae bolts already being hurled at them. The orcs counter by moving up their goblin wolf riders, but their medium cavalry are nevertheless disrupted by the hail of missile fire.

Meanwhile, on the left, the vulkoorim scouts advance and start firing on the orc line in the field here, causing some disruption to their ranks. The goblin archers in the field in the centre are also taking heavy losses from the duergar crossbowmen in the centre. The orcs rally, however, and charge to drive back the skirmishing drow.

Turn 4

End of turn 4
The duergar must deal with the threats to their flanks. One unit of dwarven infantry turns to face the orcs moving around their right flank, while another unit peels off to face the cavalry across the plain. Growing impatient, the orc cavalry now charges, but the cavalry are already disordered by ballista fire and the impetus is lost as the heavy dwarven infantry stands their ground against the charge without problem. Meanwhile, the goblin cavalry charge the Vulkoorim mounted scouts, but are quickly routed and driven off.

Turn 5

End of turn 5
As one unit of the White Fang's cavalry is routed by the duergar in the plain, the orcs realise they can wait no longer and must exploit their advantage on the left now or never. The line here charges, joined by a flank charge by the unit on their far left that already advanced. The duergar line manages to meet the charge, but it is thrown into disorder as the ferocious orcs take advantage of their local advantage in numbers and press their attack.

Demoralisation points:
White Fang: 7 (target of 12)
Hammerhead Clan: 3 (target of 12)

Turn 6

End of turn 6
The duergar are in a mess — they moved their line too close to the orcs, giving them all the flexibility about choosing when to fight. On their left, the duergar are cleaning up: the remaining orc cavalry are routed by the duergar infantry there, who have done an excellent job driving off cavalry despite their greater numbers and the open ground here, with only a little assistance from their ballista battery. But there are a lot of troops over on the left here, and meanwhile their right is being swamped by the main orc attack.

The White Fang orcs warriors in the centre cut a path through the duergar crossbowmen, causing heavy losses, and slowly but surely the duergar begin to break away in groups, until the crossbowmen are all fleeing for the rear. The duergar line infantry next to them are also taking heavy losses, but are at least able to stand again the charge. Although the Commander Drukh charges his own regiment to take the weight of the flank attack, the damage is done and the duergar spearmen, already disrupted, give way before the orcs still facing them — fleeing through the commander's unit behind and throwing that into disorder as well.

Demoralisation points: 
White Fang: 10 (target of 12)
Hammerhead Clan: 8 (target of 12)

Turn 7

End of turn 7
The duergar charge another unit of heavy infantry into the melee in the middle, trying to relieve their embattled unit of line infantry there. But the unit has already sustained heavy losses and collapses into rout, leaving the new troops to handle the rampaging orc warriors.

On the duergar right, Drukh is leading his personal regiment in the melee, and they manage to hold their ground against the orcs despite being attacked in the flank as other units flee. The orcs in front of them waver and, with mounting losses, then break and run.

The rest of the White Fang line is staying in the field, where they can cover the flank and be ready for a counterattack by the duergar coming from the left.

Demoralisation points:
White Fang: 11 (target of 12)
Hammerhead clan: 10 (target of 12)

Turn 8

Commander Drukh emerges from a protracted and bloody right with the orcs on the right, he and his personal regiment victorious and the orcs, despite their numbers, finally put to flight with heavy losses. But, as he surveys the battlefield, the sight is grim: most of his main battle line has been broken up by the orc charge — the final unit of duergar warriors here, after heavy losses, is overwhelmed and breaks ranks to flee. Beyond, his units on the left are regrouping and mounting a counterattack against the orcs in the centre, where they seek to bring the White Fang commander, Armnok, to close quarters. But the orcs are ready for them, and the rough ground of the field is better suited to the orcs than to the heavily-armoured duergar in close formation.

With his army in disarray and in danger of being entirely overwhelmed, Drukh reluctantly calls a retreat. The duergar must regroup.

Demoralisation points:
White Fang: 12 (target of 12)
Hammerhead Clan: 13 (target of 12)

Post-Battle Analysis

Well, that was a remarkable turnaround for the orcs. I thought that, having wasted their cavalry, there was little chance that I could turn it around. So I decided to try with their only advantage — local numbers on the west side of the field, plus the slow-moving duergar would have a hard time redeploying to meet it. The duergar has foolishly put themselves in a place where the orcs could charge them, but they would take several turns to charge the orcs, and were dithering due to the poor formation of their line. The orcs got unlucky with rolls with their cavalry, but made up for it with the main infantry push.

The duergar may have won the east side of the battle, but their troops there were so scattered that they could not be easily redeployed to meet the main orc force in the centre. The duergar started with a 50% points advantage, but much of it was left scattered in the east because their commander was too far away to use it.

Technically, the battle is a draw, but that means (in the ME rules) that the attackers have to withdraw so they are effectively the losers here.

L'Art de la Guerre held up okay again here. I think it struggled a little with such small armies, as sometimes little happened on a turn since there were so few order points to go around. But it still strikes a good balance between making an interesting battle while feeling reasonably balanced and not totally arbitrary.

Consequences

Most imporantly, the orcs remain in posession of their capital, and are not out of the game.

The White Fang lose 140 points from their ME army — fairly heavy losses for a victory, around ¼ of their army, but that's not surprising considering how badly outnumbered they were to start with and had all their cavalry and skirmishers routed early on.

The Hammerhead Clan loses 225 points, 30% of their army. That is expensive but not a disaster — the battle was very close, effectively a draw, and the Hammerheads had fewer routed units than the orcs (who had over half of their army routed). If they attack again, these same armies could face off again and with the duergar having only a slightly reduced relative advantage.

Sunday, 7 February 2016

999YK Summer: Nymm

The vast wilds of Xen'Drik contain many concealed places and wonders. Giantish ruins are most common — the ruined city of Threnal is merely one of the largest and most grand, but the ruins of smaller settlements are scattered throughout the interior, the remains of an empire that lasted 40,000 years. That empire was strong until the war against the Quori, when the giants unleased the most powerful of the magic taught to them by dragons to shift the alignment of the plains themselves. The backlash on Eberron itself destroyed whole continents, wrecking the giants' own empire in the process — though doubtless saving Eberron by preventing the Quori from crossing from their native plane.

Their slaves, the elves — except for the Sulatar — took advantage of the weakened state of the empire to rebel. Desperate to prevent their civilization from falling, the giants turned once again to their terrible magics. But the dragons would not stand for Eberron being near destroyed just to save the giants: they turned on their former pupils and destroyed the giants' empire, preventing a greater destruction. Some dragons remained in Xen'Drik to oversee the desolation, to ensure that the giants were truly unable to rebuild.

Nymm

Hammerhead Clan: Banner 3 scouts a barren tile. Banner 1 tries to scout the way to besiege the main Orc army, but rolls a scouting event — and rolls two sixes: a dragon lair. And they roll a 4 on the test to wake up the dragons, triggering a Dragonrage.

I roll D6+1=4+1=5 dragons. The way this works in ME is that the dragons do an essentially random walk over the map, placing one dragon in each tile until you run out of dragons. These tiles all then make a test which will result in most of them get burned to the ground.

Dwarves cannot resist a good cave. The Hammerhead scouts had orders to scout a path to the White Fang capital Lagakh Mor, but an order to scout is one that can be interpreted broadly, and the duegar surveyors chose to investigate the unusual cave in the foothills of the Dragon's Maw mountains. The unnattural cold should have warned them that something was afoot, but the duergar were far from home and sensed that there might be something of value of they went deeper. They were rewarded with the sight of a vast underground chamber, icy and misty — but it was already too late, as the magical wards had been activated and the dragons were already stirring within.

Aussircaex and Aussiroth, white dragons that had lain in slumber here for most of 40,000 years, were awakened. The scouts were just the first to perish. The dragons, feeling it necessary to see what was going on in the surrounding area and wanting to intimidate the neighbourhood, flew forth and attacked surrounding settlements. They scoured the surrounding area, destroying two fortresses that they passed. The duergar army encamped nearby was of little interest to them, though — the dwarves are possess only clerical magic, and were clearly not settled there — so the dragons contented themselves with a demonstration of power by flying through the camp and slaying a hundred or so soldiers with blasts of freezing ice, before flying away to the peaks of the Dragon's Maw mountains.

Well, that was pretty bad for the duergar, but it could have been worse — if I had rolled a 5 or 6 instead of a 4 on attacking the tile with their armies in, the armies would have been destroyed by the dragons — which would have upset the whole campaign.

A dragonrage covers the land west of the Dragon's Maw mountains. The fortress just taken by the duergar, and the neighbouring independent fortress, are razed, and the duergar armies take some losses, but the White Fang orcs get escape the destruction.
Meanwhile, banner 2 moves south towards the Sulatar, exploring a barren tile. Banner 4 tries to continue scouting, but the scouts are ambushed by bandits and never return. Banner 8 continues to move south, in case it needs to back up either the operations in the centre or west.

With banners 5 & 7, I made a concious choice not to head for Stormreach. Doing so, given the messy state of affairs with the Sulatar banner 3 already operating down south, might force the Storm Lords to call off their invasion against the Sulatar; and that would bring another near 3000pts of troops into action close to the border — better to let the humans and Sulatar fight it out between them. So instead banner 5 just continues grabbing villages, hoping to weaken the Storm Lords for an attack next year.

White Fang Tribe: Banner 1 scouts out the approaching banner 6, and the news is bad: it's larger than they expected; larger than banner 3 can defend. Darn. The right play is to move banner 2 into the capital to defend it, but they fail their scouting roll! Double darn. So banner 3 moves into the capital instead, but it is going to be smashed by the duergar next turn provided the dice do not betray them.

Storm Lords: Banners 4 and 5 converge, blocking their path for the Sulatar towards Stormreach with a larger force. No scouting mishaps here, fortunately. Banner 3 stays in place to defend the cities here.

Banners 1 & 2 move in to besiege the Sulatar capital in Searing Heights; on the way, their scouts manage to recover some supplies that the Sulatar thought were burned, enabling them to bring more food to the siege. That gives them a good chance of winning. (They rolled a scouting event when trying to retake a village; they rolled found supplies, and rolled a 6 on a D6 for how much was found.)

The Storm Lords know the relative strengths here: 2807pts Storm Lords vs 2325 Sulatar. Direct attack is therefore not going to work early on; instead, they spend Nymm bombarding the city with siege engines — but they roll a 1, gaining no advantage.

Sulatar: Besieged banners 1 & 2 are stuck in the capital defending, and use up precious baggage. With the Hammerheads probing the Storm Lords in the centre of the map, we know that their banner 4 will not be heading towards the siege now; so banner 3 turns north, taking and burning another human village.

End of Nymm.
The southern part of the map burns — it's a warzone, with 7 settlements razed now. The Storm Lords are losing territory everywhere, but have a chance to knock out the Sulatar with the siege of their capital. Meanwhile, the White Fang are in deep trouble and may lose their capital next month.